Offensive Fantasy Football

Injury Prone Player Conundrum

Going into the season last year, I had a list of predictions for a bunch of players. I tend to try to stay away from players coming off of significant injury…here were two of my main predictions…

Adrian Peterson will not be ready by week 1. Toby Gerhart will play for the first 4 games of season as the starter, then Peterson will return but will be mainly ineffective.
Peyton Manning will play the first half of week one before having his head literally knocked the f off his shoulders.

Needless to say, I about as far off on these predictions as one could be. I mean Peterson’s injury were in the leg pretzel category of Mcgahee and Latimore, and Manning by all accounts should have retired. I might be in the minority here, but I feel that both of these cases were exceptions to the rules of logic.
Adrian Peterson is clearly a cyborg created by the North Koreans sent here to destroy record books, impregnate our women, solve the fiscal cliff issue, find the cure for cancer, obtain national security classified information, score touchdowns, then turn into a rocket and return to North Korea. The guy is complete medical marvel. He eats arm tackles and craps excellence. Mad respect.
Peyton Manning: My logic was, Tempt paralysis once, shame on paralysis. Tempt paralysis twice…your head is going to fall the f off. I did some research into his injury before the season, and the possibility of what one hit could have done was straight scary. Forget playing, the ability to walk and breathe were at risk last season. All Manning did was play all 16 games of the season and lead one of the most potent aerial offenses in the league.
So it seems no one can tell the future…but to the table come a whole new batch of injury concerns and questions for 2013.
RG3 – another leg pretzel. He is young and the rehab report sounds like he will be ready for week 1, but this is coming from Redskin’s PR.
MJD – What do you do here? He has been a fantasy staple. His leg and attitude in 2013 leave room for serious question.
Ryan Mathews – New HC, new offense, same old frail bone structure of a 80 year old woman.
Demarco Murray – Crazy Talent, Crazy Offense, Crazy inability to stay on the field.
McFadden – Everyone reenacts memento with this guy each season. The potential is sick, but what do you do with him? He sneaks into the top 2 rounds every season.
The list goes on and on…but here are the ones that came to mind off the top. But what factors should go into consideration when forming opinions and predictions about a players ability to recover from a serious injury…the factors I use are…
Severity of injury
Injury history
Age of player
Amount of career wear on player
Physical Needs of position vs. type of injury
I was dead wrong about Manning and Peterson, and will try not to let my bruised pride influence my draft this year. Just like with the privacy policy of I have to warn you that these are my opinions only.
My position remains that players with major injury concerns going into the season regularly have risk that outweighs the benefit.

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